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Will El Niño Trigger Africa’s Next Food Crisis? | Next Africa, Sonic AI
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Will El Niño Trigger Africa’s Next Food Crisis? | Next Africa
Next Africa
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Jun 19, 2026
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15:34
Interview
Will El Niño Trigger Africa’s Next Food Crisis? | Next Africa
From
Next Africa
Jennifer Zabasaja
(Journalist and analyst, Next Africa)
•
Lauren Rosenthal
(Guest)
•
Next Africa
(Guest)
•
Mumbi Gitau
(Guest)
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Executive Summary
A strong El Niño event has been declared, predicted to be one of the most powerful since 1950 and expected to last for several months, potentially into early 2027.
The event is forecast to cause significant, varied weather impacts across Africa: drier conditions in the north and south, and heavier rainfall in the east.
These weather shifts pose a major threat to key agricultural commodities, including cocoa and cotton in West Africa (drought) and robusta coffee in Uganda (excess rain), signaling potential supply chain disruptions.
Analysts suggest that commodity markets have not yet fully priced in the risks associated with this El Niño, indicating potential for future price volatility as its effects become clearer.
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