Keep pulling the thread on Dan Hendrycks.
Even if the U.S. and China both develop AIs perfectly aligned with their national interests, it will still result in a high-risk strategic competition, forcing rapid military integration of AI with a high tolerance for risk.
The relative quantity of advanced AI chips held by the U.S. versus China may become the primary determinant of which country is more prosperous in the future.
Under the "Mutually Assured AI Malfunction" (MAME) framework, nations like the U.S., China, and Russia would deter each other from developing destabilizing "superweapon" AIs by maintaining a credible threat of a preemptive cyberattack on rival data centers.
U.S. Cyber Command should develop and prepare cyberattack capabilities to disable foreign data centers if they are found to be developing a destabilizing AI project.
An AI model achieving near-ceiling performance on the "Humanity's Last Exam" benchmark would signify the existence of a superhuman STEM scientist or mathematician for closed-ended problems.
Foreign intelligence services can easily conduct espionage on top AI labs like DeepMind, OpenAI, and xAI by exploiting a zero-day vulnerability in common software like Slack.
The ability of U.S. AI companies to implement substantial safety measures is constrained by geopolitical competition with China and potentially Russia in the future.
Imposing excessively stringent export controls on AI chips to China increases the probability that China will invade Taiwan to secure its own supply.
The U.S. government should implement a licensing regime to reliably track the location of advanced AI chips, similar to how fissile material is tracked for nuclear non-proliferation.
Over 30% of employees at top U.S. AI companies are Chinese nationals, making it infeasible to prevent corporate espionage without crippling the U.S.'s own AI development.
The Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has not made AI chip export control a substantial priority, failing to conduct basic end-use checks in Singapore that would have revealed NVIDIA chips were being diverted to China.
If the U.S. were to build a trillion-dollar compute cluster in a desert to create a monopoly on superintelligence, China would likely take preemptive action to stop it.