The new Trump administration is signaling a significant pro-crypto policy shift, starting with an executive order that revokes Biden-era policies, prohibits CBDCs, and establishes a new digital assets working group.
Key regulatory battles are shifting in favor of the crypto industry, evidenced by the SEC's rescission of SAB 121 and a Fifth Circuit Court ruling against OFAC's sanctions on Tornado Cash.
A primary focus for advocacy group Coin Center is the ongoing legal fight to protect non-custodial software developers from being classified as money transmitters, a battle being fought in the courts (Tornado Cash, Samurai Wallet) and through proposed legislation.
There is cautious optimism for achieving regulatory clarity through multiple avenues—executive action, new congressional committees, and the judiciary—though risks of poorly implemented policy remain.
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Concerns Raised
Ongoing DOJ prosecutions of non-custodial software developers under a broad interpretation of money transmission laws.
The risk of well-intentioned but poorly implemented pro-crypto policies creating new, unforeseen problems.
Uncertainty over how the SEC will function and what rules it will create before a new chair is confirmed.
Opportunities Identified
A new, crypto-friendly administration and Congress can pass comprehensive market structure legislation.
The new Senate Digital Assets Subcommittee, led by advocates, can proactively address industry-crippling issues like banking access.
Favorable court rulings, like the Fifth Circuit's Tornado Cash decision, can be used as precedent to protect developers' rights.
The SEC, under new leadership, may establish clearer, more reasonable paths for token registration and decentralization.