Keep pulling the thread on Liz Lopato.
Some trading on prediction markets related to the Iran conflict appeared to be based on insider information from individuals with advanced knowledge of U.S. military actions.
An anonymous trader on Polymarket made over $500,000 by placing a last-minute bet on the date of a military offensive against Iran.
Polymarket CEO Shane Copeland has publicly described insider trading as 'cool'.
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev has defended prediction markets, describing them as 'the news faster, in some cases before it even happens'.
Polymarket refuses to ban trading on armed conflicts or the assassinations of world leaders and has no plans to prohibit using inside information for such trades.
Donald Trump Jr. serves as an advisor to both Polymarket and Kalshi.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has stated it will sue any state that attempts to regulate prediction markets independently.
The governors of New Jersey, Utah, and Nevada are prepared to challenge the federal government in court over the right to regulate prediction markets.
Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket experienced a surge in trading activity following the outbreak of conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran.
The year 2026 is anticipated to be a critical year for the regulatory future of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Polymarket and Substack have launched a joint venture that allows Substack writers to integrate Polymarket odds into their publications.
On a Coinbase earnings call, CEO Brian Armstrong intentionally read specific words to resolve bets on the Polymarket platform.