Keep pulling the thread on Peter Zeihan.
A significant attack on desalination or power infrastructure in Gulf states, such as the facility in Taweelah, UAE, could cause a mass death event within days due to a lack of alternative water sources.
Iran has the capacity to produce between 500 and 700 Shahed drones per week under normal circumstances.
The Persian Gulf has been effectively closed to significant maritime traffic for 10 consecutive days.
The 10-day closure of the Persian Gulf has prevented approximately 150 million barrels of crude oil from reaching global markets.
The recent disruption of oil traffic from the Persian Gulf represents a loss of 15% of the global oil supply.
Israel has shifted its military targeting strategy in its conflict with Iran to include civilian infrastructure, specifically hitting depots for refined oil products like gasoline and diesel.
Iran is attacking targets in Gulf states and has shifted its strategy to focus on civilian infrastructure.
Iranian forces intentionally targeted a desalination facility in Bahrain.
As of early in the conflict, neither Israel nor Iran had targeted critical oil infrastructure such as pipelines, pumping systems, or refineries.
Peter Zeihan speculates that recent Israeli strikes on fuel depots are preparation for a larger operation intended to paralyze general movement within Iran.
The United Arab Emirates and Qatar each rely on reverse osmosis desalination for 50% of their water supply.
Kuwait relies on desalination for 90% of its water supply.