Keep pulling the thread on Karim Sadjadpour.
The current U.S. military buildup off the coast of Iran is the largest American military deployment in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
Karim Sadjadpour believes there is a high likelihood that the United States will take military action against Iran due to the low probability of a diplomatic deal.
According to some estimates, the Iranian government killed as many as 30,000 of its own people in a 48-hour period last month.
In 2018, the Trump administration withdrew the United States from the nuclear deal with Iran that was negotiated by the Obama administration.
In 2020, the Trump administration ordered the assassination of Iran's top military commander, Qasem Soleimani.
Last summer, the United States conducted "Operation Midnight Hammer," dropping 14 bunker-busting bombs on Iran.
Any potential U.S. military action against Iran will be coordinated with Israel.
Israel is publicly supportive of a U.S. military strike on Iran, is privately encouraging President Trump to act, and will likely participate in any such operation.
Persian Gulf countries, including the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, will publicly oppose a U.S. strike on Iran and have stated they will not allow the U.S. to use their airspace for such an attack due to fear of Iranian retaliation.
The United States' demands for a new deal with Iran include zero uranium enrichment, significant curtailment of its missile program, and an end to support for regional proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis.
Iran has stated it will only negotiate with the U.S. about its nuclear program and has rejected the demand for zero uranium enrichment.
There is a decent likelihood that any U.S. military action against Iran would include an attempt to assassinate Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei.