AppLovin experienced extreme stock volatility, falling from a $40B valuation to under $4B in 2022, despite growing its EBITDA from $700M to over $1B.
The company executed a highly successful $6B stock buyback program, leveraging company capital and debt, which the CEO claims generated $50-60B in value.
A major business inflection point occurred in April 2023 with the launch of Axon 2, an advanced AI model that significantly improved ad-targeting performance.
AppLovin is strategically expanding its ad platform beyond its gaming roots to serve e-commerce, SMBs, and eventually all business categories, aiming for a trillion-dollar outcome.
12 quotes
Concerns Raised
Extreme stock price volatility due to market misunderstanding
Historically low IPO float created an unstable investor base
Operating in categories (gaming, advertising) that public markets find difficult to value
Opportunities Identified
Expanding the ad platform beyond gaming and e-commerce to all business categories
Leveraging advanced AI (Axon 2) to increase ad relevance and performance
Serving the large, underserved market of small-to-medium-sized businesses (SMBs)
Potential for massive operating leverage as the AI platform scales