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Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, Sonic AI
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Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
A Cheeky Pint
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Mar 17, 2026
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1:16:58
Interview
Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
(Co-founders, Calci, guest)
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Executive Summary
Calci, a US-based prediction market, successfully sued its regulator, the CFTC, to enable trading on US elections, a pivotal moment that solidified its legal standing.
The company has experienced explosive growth, with monthly trading volume exceeding $10 billion, demonstrating significant market adoption.
Unlike sports betting platforms, Calci operates on a transaction-fee model similar to a stock exchange, with liquidity primarily provided by over 2,000 individual market makers.
Calci is expanding beyond binary prediction markets to create futures markets for non-traditional assets, most notably GPU compute time, aiming to become the world's largest derivatives exchange.
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Regulatory Strategy and Confrontation
Prediction Markets as Financial Infrastructure
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Processed May 10, 2026
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