Keep pulling the thread on Ian Bremmer.
Ian Bremmer asserts that the US military conflict with Iran, which was launched four months prior, has completely failed to accomplish any of the war goals stated by President Trump.
Ian Bremmer predicts with 90-95% certainty that there will be ongoing military strikes between Israel and Hezbollah in the coming months leading up to Israel's elections in October.
Donald Trump asserted that he would be able to control Israel from attacking Lebanon, stating "they have a lot of respect for me and they do as I say."
Ian Bremmer predicts that a successful, executed nuclear deal will not be reached between the United States and Iran.
Ian Bremmer concludes that President Trump has backtracked on every major demand he made of Iran at the beginning of the military conflict.
Donald Trump indicated that it would be acceptable for Iran to possess ballistic missiles in "relative proportion" to what countries like Saudi Arabia and Qatar have.
Ian Bremmer asserts the US "backed down" in its trade conflict with China because China's retaliation, particularly withholding critical minerals and rare earths, threatened to cause an "economic catastrophe" in the US.
Ian Bremmer predicts that Iran will not agree to dilute or turn over all of its enriched uranium stockpiles in a final deal with the United States.
According to Ian Bremmer, President Trump desires a new nuclear agreement with Iran that is substantially tougher than the JCPOA, but possesses considerably less leverage to force Iran to accept it.
Ian Bremmer predicts that Iran's most significant diplomatic engagements in the coming months will occur with Gulf states, China, India, and European nations in capitals like Doha, Abu Dhabi, and Riyadh, rather than with US negotiators.
Ian Bremmer states that Hezbollah is operationally controlled by Iran with respect to its military decisions.
The 15-point memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran does not include provisions regarding Iran's ballistic missile program.