Keep pulling the thread on Karim Sadjadpour.
Karim Sadjadpour estimates the probability of the US-Iran conflict being permanently resolved is less than 20%.
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The United States and Iran have reached a memorandum of understanding after 107 days of war.
The US-Iran memorandum of understanding includes a 60-day ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and a halt to fighting in Lebanon.
Negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and frozen assets have been deferred for the next two months under the recent agreement.
Israel has stated it is not bound by the US-Iran deal and that its military forces will remain in Lebanon indefinitely.
The United States and Iran have significantly different interpretations of their memorandum of understanding regarding economic relief, nuclear commitments, and the future of the Strait of Hormuz.
President Donald Trump has indicated a possibility of returning to conflict with Iran if the country shows no flexibility on its nuclear program.
Iran claims the US has agreed to pay $300 billion in reconstruction costs and release $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets as part of their recent deal.
JD Vance has denied Iran's claims that the US agreed to pay for reconstruction costs and release frozen assets.
Due to the US naval blockade, Iran is losing as much as $450 million per day from its inability to export oil.