The People's Republic of China (PRC) is engaged in an escalating diplomatic and legal campaign ('lawfare') to isolate Taiwan and build international justification for potential military action.
A key tactic is pressuring countries, particularly in the Global South, to adopt its 'One China principle' in joint statements, including new language that omits a requirement for 'peaceful' unification.
China deliberately misrepresents international documents, most notably UN Resolution 2758, to falsely claim a global consensus on its sovereignty over Taiwan.
This is part of a broader strategy to 'seize discourse power' through whole-of-society influence operations, targeting everything from subnational governments to youth programs via companies like Huawei.
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Concerns Raised
China's rapid success in persuading dozens of countries to adopt its position on Taiwan, including language that omits 'peaceful' resolution.
The widespread misinterpretation and weaponization of UN Resolution 2758 to assert sovereignty over Taiwan.
The erosion of the rules-based international order as China redefines legal terms and norms to suit its interests.
The effectiveness and pervasiveness of China's whole-of-society influence campaigns in the Global South and beyond.
Opportunities Identified
Building coalitions of small and medium-sized states that are also vulnerable to PRC pressure and rely on international law.
Clearly and consistently articulating the facts about Taiwan's legal status and the nuances of various 'One China' policies to counter PRC disinformation.
Making a more effective public case for why Taiwan's democratic survival and the principle of peaceful dispute resolution matter to global stability.