Keep pulling the thread on Donald Trump.
The Trump administration's national security strategy introduced a "Trump corollary to the Monroe Doctrine" which is guiding its strategy in Latin America.
Since August 2025, the U.S. has conducted one of the largest naval buildups ever seen in the Southern Caribbean, with approximately 20% of the U.S. Navy's deployed fleet at one point located in the SOUTHCOM area of responsibility.
On January 3rd, 2026, the United States conducted a military operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and transport him to the U.S. to stand trial on 2020 drug trafficking charges.
Ryan Berg predicts that by the end of 2026, Venezuela will hold free and fair elections, resolving the country's political legitimacy and stability issues.
The primary responsibility for providing financial and military backing to Ukraine has shifted from the United States to Europe.
Max Bergman predicts that Viktor Orban will not be the leader of an EU country by the end of 2026, either through losing the election or through EU action against him.
If Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban attempts to subvert the upcoming election, the EU is predicted to take strong action, potentially invoking Article 7 to suspend Hungary's voting rights.
The Trump administration and the Lee Jae-myung government of South Korea reached a $350 billion trade and investment framework agreement in 2025.
The 2025 U.S.-South Korea trade agreement includes cooperation on shipbuilding and the development of nuclear-powered submarines for South Korea.
Victor Char predicts that U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un will meet in 2026 and attempt to declare a peace agreement on the Korean Peninsula.
China believes it successfully used restrictions on agricultural purchases and rare earth exports to force the United States to agree to an economic truce in late October 2025.
Tom Christensen predicts that the economic truce between the U.S. and China will break down in 2026 due to disagreements over national security issues such as Iran, Russia, and Venezuela.